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get something done Alan!

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Try figuring out the winner of Tampa-Boston or Nashville-Winnipeg.
By: dc IP: 65.93.225.185 Date: - 4/22/2018 9:08:08 AM
First rounds are usually easy. It's supposed to predict how a team will do over a stretch of time based on statistics culled from over a long stretch of time. The Caps are the only team beating the model right now, but they have to finish it off. Columbus looks like dogshit.
By: dc IP: 65.93.225.185 Date: - 4/22/2018 9:05:37 AM
Anderson stole game 5 from the Bruins.


By: db IP: 66.31.89.33 Date: - 4/22/2018 5:46:59 AM
Yes, I'd say the Preds are underacheiving thusfar vs the Avs...

Preds have been HUGe favorites in every game, like -320.

So, it's not like you're making a wicked smart call to pick them to win this series.
And it's not like their advanced stats would matter eithr; they're like 16-1 vs the Avs over the past few years.


By: db IP: 66.31.89.33 Date: - 4/21/2018 12:23:43 PM
Two huuuuge upsets today.
Playoffs getting even better.
By: Jmom IP: 74.95.203.94 Date: - 4/20/2018 9:48:39 PM
Flyers!
By: cg IP: 50.1.105.44 Date: - 4/20/2018 7:23:01 PM
Observation below takes for granted that Bruins have PB
By: DC IP: 99.203.28.185 Date: - 4/20/2018 4:20:42 PM
There are always anomalies. But like I said two years ago I got 15/16. Injuries can supersede numbers as can deadline additions. PREDS has those numbers without the new guys but theyíve only been average vs Avs- tho still winning
By: DC IP: 99.203.28.185 Date: - 4/20/2018 4:20:04 PM
Haaaaaaaaaaaaaaardoooooo.

We can all agree that post game press conferences are useless, but, if this is 💯 just a hardo being a hardo.
...just so unlikable.

It would be one thing if he just went full heel and owned it, but, he tries to play it off like it isnít him that is the asshole in the room.
-So full of false humility and politeness...until itís tantrum-time.
...It had to be the worst to play/work for him.

Neckbeard depends on his system.
A system that is as rigid and limited as he is.
Unable to make useful changes as he is.
-He has one adjustment option:
Yell-More.

Iím sure Trotz was peeling the paint off the walls too, but, he also went to school and changed his wrinkles.

Same thing every year.
Good enough to get there, but, not enough to go further.
Gets out-coached in games they lose.
Gets out-coached in games they win.

Hey coach, your team stinks because YOU stink.
Being a dick to the press isnít going to change that.

Trotz is probably out next year.
It would be hilarious if he replaced torts in Columbus.
By: Jmom IP: 74.95.203.94 Date: - 4/20/2018 3:12:16 PM
How can you not take his side vs the friggin mediqa?


By: db IP: 66.31.89.33 Date: - 4/20/2018 8:58:14 AM
Your handicapping SOUNDS good... but put this one into your numbers:

Patrice Burgeron, the Bruins 1st-line center, the guy who's probably gonna win another Selke, the guy who'd be in the conversation for MVP if hadn't missed games to injury... did not play last.

Yet the Bruins won, IN TORONTO.

Now take any of your matchups, remove the 1st-line center, recalculate your advanced stats, and see if that wouldn't indicate that you need to change your projected outcome.

BTW, don't all the advanced stats go out the window when a goalie gets hot...?

For example:

Martin Jones stopped 128 of 132 shots (.970 SV%) in the series.

https://www.tsn.ca/statistically-speaking-jones-sharks-sweep-ducks-1.1061489
By: db IP: 66.31.89.33 Date: - 4/20/2018 8:21:10 AM
McDonagh is starting to play like himself tho...
By: dc IP: 65.93.225.185 Date: - 4/20/2018 7:34:47 AM
When Weber was with Nash, they were bad defending their own slot. Now they are the best in the league. That was what put them over the top for me. And they are just as good as Tampa producing offense from the slot, even tho their Corsi is average. And they added 4-5 strong players to the lineup, and their numbers don't represent their new team.
By: dc IP: 65.93.225.185 Date: - 4/20/2018 7:34:31 AM
Updated numbers in my spreadsheet. While the Bruins have an edge in Corsi and Scoring Chances, I looked deeper and Tampa and Nashville have a large edge in high danger offense and defense. Now, the advanced guys didn't say anything about looking deeper than Corsi, and they said Expected Goals was better than Corsi and Scoring Chances approximated Corsi. THey didn't say to look deeper into the numbers, so who knows. The provincial lottery here seems to be looking deeper. THeir top picks for the Cup are:

Nash $4.50
TB $5.00
Vegas $5.25
Pitt $6.50
Winnipeg $6.75
Boston $6.75

Same situation exists between Nash and Peg. Nash has better high danger numbers, but Peg has better surface advanced stats.

If we take what the adv stats guys say literally, it will be Boston over Winnipeg (if Bergeron is healthy). If you go deeper, then Nash over TB.
By: dc IP: 65.93.225.185 Date: - 4/20/2018 7:30:45 AM